Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016

Ostrovia Ostrow

4 - 0

Nielba Wagrowiec

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ostrovia Ostrow in this III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrovia Ostrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ostrovia Ostrow

Draws

90%

Nielba Wagrowiec

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nielba Wagrowiec have won more games recently than Ostrovia Ostrow.
90% — that's where the model lands on Nielba Wagrowiec taking it.
Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 10%

Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ostrovia Ostrow	Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	8	11
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0.75	2.25
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 III Liga - Group II

Ostrovia Ostrow vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 4 - 4

4:0

Sep 26, 2015 III Liga - Group II

Nielba Wagrowiec vs Ostrovia Ostrow

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovia Ostrow 10 / 100

Nielba Wagrowiec 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ostrovia Ostrow Nielba Wagrowiec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nielba Wagrowiec conceded in 89% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ostrovia Ostrow found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Nielba Wagrowiec lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovia Ostrow VS Nielba Wagrowiec

0.75 Goals Scored 2.25

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Warta Poznan	30	18	8	4	57:24	62
2	Pelikan Niechanowo	30	19	5	6	60:28	62
3	Lech Poznan II	30	17	9	4	69:23	60
4	Kleczew	30	15	8	7	63:30	53
5	Jarocin	30	14	9	7	47:27	51
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	30	15	6	9	45:28	51
7	Wda Swiecie	30	14	7	9	37:37	49
8	KKS Kalisz	30	13	6	11	41:41	45
9	Elana Torun	30	13	5	12	51:41	44
10	Unia Swarzedz	30	10	8	12	39:55	38
11	Start Warlubie	30	9	8	13	40:45	35
12	Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski	30	9	4	17	39:67	31
13	Ostrovia Ostrow	30	8	5	17	36:48	29
14	Nielba Wagrowiec	30	6	5	19	32:68	23
15	Sparta Brodnica	30	4	10	16	26:55	22
16	Kujawianka	30	3	3	24	26:91	12