Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrovia Ostrow vs Start Warlubie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostrovia Ostrow in this III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrovia Ostrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ostrovia Ostrow
15%
Draws
64%
Start Warlubie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Start Warlubie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Start Warlubie have won more games recently than Ostrovia Ostrow.
  • 21% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ostrovia Ostrow Clean Sheet 20%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrovia Ostrow Start Warlubie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.22 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Ostrovia Ostrow vs Start Warlubie
1:0
Aug 22, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Ostrovia Ostrow
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrovia Ostrow 31 / 100
Start Warlubie 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrovia Ostrow Start Warlubie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovia Ostrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrovia Ostrow scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Start Warlubie has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Start Warlubie has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostrovia Ostrow VS Start Warlubie
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrovia Ostrow

(Home)
15 Feb
Ostrovia Ostrow
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
27 Jul
Krotoszyn
3 : 3
Ostrovia Ostrow
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
25 Jul
Jarocin
3 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
04 Jun
Elana Torun
2 : 1
Ostrovia Ostrow
Page 1 of 7

Start Warlubie

(Away)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)