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Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Sportowy
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Kapuscinski P.
72' Event
Walencik B.
86' Event
Majewski M.

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
30%
Draws
34%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Kolbuszowa Dolna.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 20%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
4:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Walencik B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majewski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapuscinski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 36 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Kolbuszowa Dolna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Kolbuszowa Dolna conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013