Sport Picks
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have won more games recently than Korona Kielce II.
- Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 18%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
1:2
Mar 18, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Korona Kielce II
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 76 / 100
Korona Kielce II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Korona Kielce II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce II has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski VS Korona Kielce II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Home) 17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0 Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
06 Jun
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 1 R. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0 Star Starachowice
06 Jun
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 1 R. Rzeszow
03 Jun
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 1 Luzino
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce II
(Away) 11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
01 May
Wisla II
2 : 3 Korona Kielce II
25 Apr
Chelmianka Chelm
4 : 1 Korona Kielce II
11 Apr
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)