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Stadium Background

Osvaldo Cruz vs Elosport

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elosport in this Paulista A4 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elosport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Osvaldo Cruz
35%
Draws
16%
Elosport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Osvaldo Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osvaldo Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Elosport.
  • Model gives Osvaldo Cruz a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Osvaldo Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
Elosport Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osvaldo Cruz Elosport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2016 Paulista A4
Osvaldo Cruz vs Elosport
1:2
May 1, 2016 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Osvaldo Cruz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osvaldo Cruz 85 / 100
Elosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osvaldo Cruz Elosport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osvaldo Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Osvaldo Cruz scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Elosport has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Osvaldo Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osvaldo Cruz VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Osvaldo Cruz

(Home)
25 Jun
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Osvaldo Cruz
19 Jun
Osvaldo Cruz
1 : 1
Vocem
12 Jun
Osvaldo Cruz
2 : 2
AA Itarare
05 Jun
Assisense
0 : 0
Osvaldo Cruz
29 May
Osvaldo Cruz
2 : 0
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

Elosport

(Away)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 14 10 2 2 36:6 32
2 Vocem 14 10 2 2 32:13 32
3 Santacruzense 14 9 2 3 27:13 29
4 Tupa 14 7 6 1 22:11 27
5 Elosport 14 4 3 7 12:20 15
6 Assisense 14 3 3 8 12:29 12
7 Osvaldo Cruz 14 2 0 12 13:39 6
8 Presidente Prudente 14 1 2 11 13:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 14 9 4 1 29:10 31
2 XV de Jau 14 7 4 3 24:15 25
3 Tanabi 14 6 4 4 25:20 22
4 Bandeirante 14 6 3 5 22:28 21
5 Andradina Esporte Clube 14 4 5 5 24:26 17
6 America SP 14 4 4 6 19:23 16
7 Jose Bonifacio EC 14 3 3 8 14:20 12
8 AEA Aracatuba 14 2 3 9 18:33 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diadema 14 9 4 1 30:9 31
2 Desportivo 14 9 2 3 24:12 29
3 Taboao da Serra 14 8 2 4 35:20 26
4 SKA Brasil 14 7 3 4 21:18 24
5 CA Lemense 14 5 3 6 24:18 18
6 Barcelona SP 14 3 3 8 7:26 12
7 Amparo SP 14 3 1 10 17:29 10
8 Palmeirinha SP 14 3 0 11 10:36 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 9 5 0 31:9 32
2 Mauaense 14 8 4 2 25:9 28
3 Guarulhos 14 8 1 5 31:24 25
4 Jabaquara 14 6 3 5 20:14 21
5 EC Sao Bernardo 14 6 2 6 26:22 20
6 Manthiqueira 14 5 2 7 15:20 17
7 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 9:33 8
8 Atletico Mogi 14 2 1 11 6:32 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)