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Osvetimany vs Napajedla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Zlinsky KP
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osvetimany host Napajedla in the Zlinsky KP. Osvetimany are expected to control this from the start. Osvetimany have averaged 2 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Napajedla's 0.69 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Osvetimany have won 3 to Napajedla's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.00, favoring Osvetimany. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Osvetimany
30%
Draws
6%
Napajedla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Osvetimany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Osvetimany carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Osvetimany a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Zlinsky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Osvetimany Clean Sheet 20%
Napajedla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osvetimany Napajedla
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 1
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 2 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2025 Zlinsky KP
Osvetimany vs Napajedla
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Zlinsky KP
Napajedla vs Osvetimany
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 Zlinsky KP
Osvetimany vs Napajedla
4:0
Sep 9, 2023 Zlinsky KP
Napajedla vs Osvetimany
3:0
May 20, 2023 Zlinsky KP
Osvetimany vs Napajedla
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osvetimany 85 / 100
Napajedla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osvetimany Napajedla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osvetimany Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osvetimany scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Napajedla conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Osvetimany remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osvetimany VS Napajedla
2.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osvetimany

(Home)
03 Oct
Sokol Nevsova
1 : 3
Osvetimany
26 Sept
Osvetimany
3 : 3
Mladcova
19 Sept
Luhacovice
1 : 5
Osvetimany
12 Sept
Osvetimany
5 : 0
Horni Becva
06 Sept
Kunovice
1 : 1
Osvetimany
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Napajedla

(Away)
04 Oct
Napajedla
0 : 1
Vigantice
26 Sept
Sokol Nevsova
2 : 2
Napajedla
20 Sept
Napajedla
1 : 3
Nivnice
12 Sept
Mladcova
3 : 1
Napajedla
06 Sept
Napajedla
0 : 1
Jiskra Stare Mesto
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