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Otelul vs Univ. Craiova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Superliga Stadionul Otelul, Galati
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Cretu A.
29'
Cretu A.
29'
Cretu A.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Otelul and Univ. Craiova finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Otelul
20%
Draws
71%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Univ. Craiova come out ahead of Otelul on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Univ. Craiova's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otelul Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Superliga
Otelul vs Univ. Craiova
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs Otelul
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Superliga
Otelul vs Univ. Craiova
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 Superliga
Univ. Craiova vs Otelul
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Univ. Craiova vs Otelul
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otelul Compare

Top Goalscorer Lungu T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Univ. Craiova Compare

Top Goalscorer Etim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otelul 10 / 100
Univ. Craiova 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otelul Univ. Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otelul found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Univ. Craiova conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Otelul remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Otelul VS Univ. Craiova
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Otelul

(Home)
03 Oct
Otelul
1 : 1
FC Bacau
21 Sept
Otelul
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
14 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
3 : 0
Otelul
06 Sept
Otelul
0 : 1
Rapid Bucuresti
28 Aug
Voluntari
2 : 2
Otelul
Page 1 of 6

Univ. Craiova

(Away)
04 Oct
CSM Slatina
0 : 4
Univ. Craiova
19 Sept
Univ. Craiova
5 : 0
FCSB
13 Sept
Corvinul Hunedoara
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
07 Sept
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
Universitatea Cluj
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Rapid Bucuresti 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
3 Univ. Craiova 10 6 2 2 24:9 20
4 Petrolul 10 6 1 3 13:12 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 10 6 0 4 17:14 18
6 Farul Constanta 10 3 5 2 14:14 14
7 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 3 4 3 11:9 13
8 CFR Cluj 10 4 1 5 16:17 13
9 Sepsi 10 3 4 3 7:10 13
10 FC UTA Arad 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
11 FCSB 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
12 FC Botosani 10 2 5 3 14:12 11
13 Campionii Arges 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
14 Otelul 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
15 Voluntari 10 2 2 6 9:22 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 10 0 1 9 6:23 1
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)