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Otoho d'Oyo vs Ferroviario Maputo

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Mouandza Mapata P.
51' Event
Atipo C.

AI Match Summary

Otoho d'Oyo in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Otoho d'Oyo
30%
Draws
37%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Otoho d'Oyo average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of Ferroviario Maputo's 0.79.
  • Otoho d'Oyo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Otoho d'Oyo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Otoho d'Oyo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otoho d'Oyo Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.67 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Otoho d'Oyo vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Ferroviario Maputo vs Otoho d'Oyo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otoho d'Oyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouandza Mapata P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atipo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ferroviario Maputo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otoho d'Oyo 42 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otoho d'Oyo Ferroviario Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otoho d'Oyo found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (15 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Otoho d'Oyo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviario Maputo let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Otoho d'Oyo VS Ferroviario Maputo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Otoho d'Oyo

(Home)
22 Mar
Zamalek
2 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
14 Mar
Otoho d'Oyo
1 : 1
Zamalek
15 Feb
CR Belouizdad
2 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
08 Feb
Otoho d'Oyo
3 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
01 Feb
Otoho d'Oyo
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 3

Ferroviario Maputo

(Away)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Asante Kotoko 5
Kwara 3
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Generation Foot 4
Academie de FAD 6
TBD -
USM Alger -
Bhantal 3
Hafia 5
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
USFA 3
Gbohloe-Su 0
Abia Warriors 1
Djoliba 2
Nigelec 0
Olympique de Safi 6
Stade Tunisien 2
SNIM 0
Aigle Royal 2
San Pedro 3
Black Man Warrior 1
Coton FC 4
Dekedda 2
Zamala Ruwaba 2
TBD -
Zamalek -
Welayta Dicha 1
Al-Ittihad 3
TBD -
Al Masry -
NEC FC 3
Nairobi United 3
Madani 1
Etoile Sahel 3
Port 2
KMKM 4
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Azam 4
Flambeau du Centre 4
Al Akhdar 3
Rayon Sport 1
Singida Black Stars 3
Foresters 1
15 de Agosto 4
TBD -
Stellenbosch FC -
FC Libreville 2
Zesco 5
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Simba 3
Djabal 0
Kabuscorp 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
AS Maniema 4
Pamplemousses 3
Young Africans 0
Royal Leopards 7
Ferroviario Maputo 3
AS Fanalamanga 2
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Final
Asante Kotoko 1
Wydad Athletic 6
Academie de FAD 1
USM Alger 3
Hafia 1
CR Belouizdad 3
USFA 1
Djoliba 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Stade Tunisien 2
San Pedro 4
Coton FC 1
Dekedda 0
Zamalek 7
Al-Ittihad 1
Al Masry 2
Nairobi United 3
Etoile Sahel 2
KMKM 0
Azam 9
Flambeau du Centre 2
Singida Black Stars 4
15 de Agosto 1
Stellenbosch FC 4
Zesco 5
Jwaneng Galaxy 4
Simba 1
Kaizer Chiefs 3
AS Maniema 3
Royal Leopards 2
Ferroviario Maputo 0
Otoho d'Oyo 3