Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otrant vs Berane

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza), Ulcinj
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Caique Chagas

AI Match Summary

The Druga Liga 2025/2026 game between Otrant and Berane finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Otrant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Otrant
20%
Draws
16%
Berane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Otrant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Otrant come out ahead of Berane on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Otrant taking it.
  • Regular Druga Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Otrant here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Otrant Clean Sheet 68%
Berane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otrant Berane
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Druga Liga
Berane vs Otrant
0:2
Mar 4, 2026 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Berane
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Druga Liga
Berane vs Otrant
1:3
Aug 31, 2025 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Berane
0:0
May 18, 2024 Druga Liga
Otrant vs Berane
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otrant Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Chagas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Berane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otrant 50 / 100
Berane 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otrant Berane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otrant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Otrant scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Berane let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Berane's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Otrant VS Berane
1.75 Goals Scored 0.17
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 17%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Otrant

(Home)
23 Aug
Otrant
0 : 3
Decic
15 Aug
Sutjeska
1 : 4
Otrant
09 Aug
Otrant
0 : 0
Petrovac
02 Aug
Mladost DG
2 : 1
Otrant
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
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Berane

(Away)
23 Aug
Berane
0 : 1
Iskra Danilovgrad
16 Aug
Jedinstvo
1 : 0
Berane
24 May
FK Podgorica
3 : 1
Berane
20 May
Berane
0 : 1
Igalo
16 May
Lovcen
0 : 0
Berane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)