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Ottawa Fury vs Bethlehem Steel FC

USA USA

USL Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Haworth C.
Assist: Samb M.
43'
Kingue S.
60'
Sub
Dixon J. In: Oliveira K.
Out: Dixon J.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2019 game between Ottawa Fury and Bethlehem Steel FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ottawa Fury
6%
Draws
4%
Bethlehem Steel FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ottawa Fury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ottawa Fury carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ottawa Fury are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 14%
Bethlehem Steel FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ottawa Fury Bethlehem Steel FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Bethlehem Steel FC
1:1
May 19, 2019 USL Championship
Bethlehem Steel FC vs Ottawa Fury
0:3
Sep 30, 2018 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Bethlehem Steel FC
0:0
Aug 22, 2018 USL Championship
Bethlehem Steel FC vs Ottawa Fury
2:0
May 25, 2018 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Bethlehem Steel FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Haworth C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bethlehem Steel FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Moumbagna F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ottawa Fury 84 / 100
Bethlehem Steel FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ottawa Fury Bethlehem Steel FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bethlehem Steel FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Ottawa Fury's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ottawa Fury stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ottawa Fury VS Bethlehem Steel FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pittsburgh Riverhounds341911458:3068
2Nashville SC34207759:2667
3Indy Eleven34196948:2963
4Louisville City34179858:4160
5Tampa Bay341610861:3358
6New York Red Bulls II341761174:5157
7North Carolina FC341681057:3756
8Ottawa Fury3414101050:4352
9Charleston3411131044:4446
10Birmingham Legion341271535:5143
11St. Louis FC341191440:4142
12Loudoun United341161759:6539
13Charlotte Independence349111442:5338
14Atlanta United 234981745:7735
15Memphis 90134971837:5234
16Bethlehem Steel FC34871949:7831
17Hartford Athletic34852149:8029
18Sporting Kansas City II34682046:8026
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising34246489:3678
2Reno 1868341861072:5160
3Monterey Bay34169958:4457
4Real Monarchs341681071:5356
5Orange County SC341591054:4354
6El Paso Locomotive3413111042:3650
7Sacramento Republic341461450:4348
8Austin Bold341391253:5248
9Ventura County3412121059:6248
10New Mexico3411131059:5746
11San Antonio FC341291362:5745
12Rio Grande Valley FC Toros341181550:5841
13Las Vegas Lights341181546:5641
14Portland Timbers 2341081665:7138
15Oklahoma City Energy FC349111445:5838
16FC Tulsa348101645:6934
17Tacoma Defiance34871942:8231
18Colorado Springs34762131:6527