Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Otterup vs Marienlyst

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hansen S.
26' Event
Hansen M.
39' Event
Chilvers D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Otterup advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Otterup
15%
Draws
34%
Marienlyst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otterup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Otterup are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Marienlyst arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marienlyst, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Otterup Clean Sheet 10%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Otterup Marienlyst
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2017 Betano Pokalen
Otterup vs Marienlyst
3:2
May 24, 2013 2nd Division West
Marienlyst vs Otterup
3:0
Oct 20, 2012 2nd Division West
Otterup vs Marienlyst
2:5
May 23, 2012 2nd Division West
Otterup vs Marienlyst
1:1
Oct 22, 2011 2nd Division West
Marienlyst vs Otterup
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Otterup Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilvers D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davidsen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Otterup 65 / 100
Marienlyst 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Otterup Marienlyst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Otterup Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Otterup scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Marienlyst has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Marienlyst has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Otterup VS Marienlyst
2 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Otterup

(Home)
09 Aug
Otterup
2 : 4
SfB-Oure
02 Sept
Otterup
2 : 3
Middelfart
22 Feb
Otterup
1 : 0
Dalum IF
24 Sept
Otterup
0 : 2
Odense
03 Sept
Otterup
4 : 0
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 6

Marienlyst

(Away)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Silkeborg -
TBD -
Hirtshals BK 2
Kjellerup 3
Fredensborg 1
Ringsted 0
Helsinge 0
Hellerup 2
Hedensted 3
Thisted FC 2
Holstebro 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyngby -
Holbaek 5
LUIF 0
Boldklubben 1973 Herlev 1
BSF 3
Varde 4
Krarup/Espe 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Otterup 3
Marienlyst 2
Christiania SC 2
Sunred Beach 3
Agerbaek/Starup 5
Bramming 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Aalborg -
TBD -
Young Boys FD 1
Viborg 3
Aabyhoj 3
Christiansbjerg IF 2
Egen 2
Middelfart 4
Hvidovre IF 1
BK Frem 0
FC Sonderborg 1
Boldklubben 1913 4
Husum BK 1
Bornholm 0
TBD -
Helsingor -
Koge 5
Herlufsholm 0
Roskilde 0
Nykobing 1
Bronshoj 2
Tarnby FF 1
Olstykke 1
Naestved IF 3
Aarhus -
TBD -
Linde 0
VSK Aarhus 12
RKG 2
Hatting Torsted 0
Esbjerg 0
Fredericia 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frem Sakskobing 1
Herstedoster IC 0
Rishoj 0
Greve IF 6
Fremad Amager 5
Avarta 0
FC Graesrodderne 2
Vanlose 3
Dalum IF 2
Tarup-Paarup 1
TBD -
Odense -
Nordsjaelland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Sydvest 05 1
Marstal/Rise 0
Birkelse 1
Vejgaard 3
Slagelse 3
Roskilde KFUM 0
Kastrup 1
AB Copenhagen 4
Kolding IF 5
Tasinge 0
TBD -
Hobro -
Sonderjyske -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brabrand 3
DGL 2000 0
Lystrup 0
Vendsyssel FF 3
VB 1968 4
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
KRFK 0
Naesby 3
Vejle 3
Alleso 0
Odder 0
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Norresundby -
TBD -
Vejlby Risskov 0
Skive 4
Ledoje-Smorum 4
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 3
Boldklubben 1893 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Silkeborg 6
Kjellerup 0
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 2
Hedensted 1
Aarhus Fremad 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Holbaek 5
BSF 1
Varde 3
Horsens 5
Otterup 5
Sunred Beach 1
Agerbaek/Starup 2
Randers FC 7
Aalborg 5
Viborg 1
Aabyhoj 3
Middelfart 4
Hvidovre IF 3
Boldklubben 1913 1
Husum BK 0
Helsingor 3
Koge 4
Nykobing 3
Bronshoj 0
Naestved IF 2
Aarhus 4
VSK Aarhus 1
RKG 1
Fredericia 8
Midtjylland -
Frem Sakskobing -
Frem Sakskobing 0
Greve IF 9
Fremad Amager 3
Vanlose 1
Dalum IF 0
Odense 1
Nordsjaelland -
FC Sydvest 05 -
FC Sydvest 05 3
Vejgaard 4
Slagelse 2
AB Copenhagen 1
Kolding IF 0
Hobro 1
Sonderjyske -
Brabrand -
Brabrand 0
Vendsyssel FF 1
VB 1968 1
Naesby 0
Vejle 1
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Norresundby 2
Skive 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Silkeborg 3
Hellerup 0
Hedensted 1
Lyngby 3
Holbaek 1
Horsens 0
Otterup 0
Randers FC 2
Aalborg 2
Middelfart 0
Hvidovre IF 0
Helsingor 1
Koge 3
Naestved IF 1
Aarhus 0
Fredericia 1
Midtjylland 7
Greve IF 0
Fremad Amager 2
Odense 3
Nordsjaelland 4
Vejgaard 0
Slagelse 1
Hobro 5
Sonderjyske 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
VB 1968 0
Jammerbugt 3
FC Copenhagen 3
Skive 0
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Brondby 5
1/8-finals
Silkeborg 3
Lyngby 1
Holbaek 1
Randers FC 4
Aalborg 2
Helsingor 1
Koge 0
Fredericia 2
Midtjylland 3
Odense 0
Nordsjaelland 1
Hobro 2
Sonderjyske 4
Jammerbugt 1
FC Copenhagen 0
Brondby 1
Quarter-finals
Silkeborg 3
Randers FC 1
Aalborg 1
Fredericia 3
Midtjylland 2
Hobro 1
Sonderjyske 0
Brondby 1
Semi-finals
Silkeborg 1
Fredericia 0
Midtjylland 1
Brondby 3
Final
Silkeborg 1
Brondby 3