Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Zaghdoud W.
36'
36'
Jouini H.
41'
41'
Zaghdoud W.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Oued Ellil and Ariana finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ariana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ariana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Oued Ellil's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Ariana Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oued Ellil | Ariana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Oued Ellil
0:1
Dec 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Ariana
2:4
May 5, 2024 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Oued Ellil
3:1
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Ariana
1:0
Feb 23, 2019 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Ariana
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oued Ellil Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrani W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ariana Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaghdoud W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jouini H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oued Ellil 95 / 100
Ariana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oued Ellil Ariana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oued Ellil scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Ariana let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Oued Ellil stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oued Ellil VS Ariana
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Oued Ellil
(Home) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
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17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
12 Apr
Oued Ellil
1 : 0 Msaken
15 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Megrine
02 Mar
Oued Ellil
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
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Ariana
(Away) 27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
Page 1 of 7
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0 Ariana
04 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 2 Ariana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
