Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oued Ellil vs Bembla

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jaouadi A.
53' Event
Amdouni A.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Amdouni A.

AI Match Summary

Oued Ellil in this Ligue 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oued Ellil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Oued Ellil
20%
Draws
34%
Bembla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oued Ellil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oued Ellil lately — more wins on the board than Bembla.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Oued Ellil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Bembla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oued Ellil Bembla
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.91 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Bembla
3:0
Oct 22, 2022 Ligue 2
Bembla vs Oued Ellil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oued Ellil Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaouadi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amdouni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bembla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oued Ellil 95 / 100
Bembla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oued Ellil Bembla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oued Ellil's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Bembla let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Oued Ellil has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oued Ellil VS Bembla
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Oued Ellil

(Home)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
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Bembla

(Away)
08 Apr
Bembla
2 : 4
Hammam-Lif
01 Feb
Bembla
3 : 1
Aigle Teboulba
26 May
AS Marsa
4 : 0
Bembla
21 May
Bembla
3 : 1
Espoir Rogba
14 May
Rades
5 : 1
Bembla
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