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Ourense CF vs CD AS Pontes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ourense CF in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ourense CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ourense CF
30%
Draws
35%
CD AS Pontes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ourense CF lately — more wins on the board than CD AS Pontes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 20%
CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ourense CF CD AS Pontes
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 10 10
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Ourense CF
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CD AS Pontes
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD AS Pontes vs Ourense CF
2:2
Oct 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs CD AS Pontes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 32 / 100
CD AS Pontes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ourense CF CD AS Pontes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD AS Pontes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD AS Pontes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Ourense CF found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Ourense CF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Ourense CF
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CD AS Pontes

(Away)
20 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
UD Ourense
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Barco
3 : 2
CD AS Pontes
23 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Ourense CF
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