Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense

Ourense CF

2 - 4

Celta Vigo B

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Marin A.

29'

Hernandez R.

36'

Marin A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celta Vigo B in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celta Vigo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Ourense CF

28%

Draws

50%

Celta Vigo B

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Celta Vigo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Celta Vigo B lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
Win probability leans Celta Vigo B's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Ourense CF Clean Sheet 11%

Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ourense CF	Celta Vigo B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	8	10
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Ourense CF vs Celta Vigo B

2:4

Oct 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Celta Vigo B vs Ourense CF

0:0

Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly

Celta Vigo B vs Ourense CF

1:2

Feb 9, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Ourense CF vs Celta Vigo B

1:0

Nov 9, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1

Celta Vigo B vs Ourense CF

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ourense CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Guerrero A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ourense CF 22 / 100

Celta Vigo B 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ourense CF Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ourense CF's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ourense CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ourense CF VS Celta Vigo B

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ourense CF

(Home)

23 May

Ourense CF

2 : 1

Tenerife

17 May

CF Talavera

0 : 0

Ourense CF

10 May

Ourense CF

2 : 4

Celta Vigo B

03 May

Ath Bilbao B

2 : 2

Ourense CF

26 Apr

Ourense CF

1 : 2

Zamora

Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo B

(Away)

20 Jun

Celta Vigo B

4 : 1

Ponferradina

13 Jun

Ponferradina

0 : 0

Celta Vigo B

07 Jun

Celta Vigo B

3 : 2

CE Europa

31 May

CE Europa

1 : 1

Celta Vigo B

23 May

Barakaldo

1 : 1

Celta Vigo B

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tenerife	38	22	10	6	62:24	76
2	Celta Vigo B	38	18	11	9	61:48	65
3	Zamora	38	17	10	11	53:42	61
4	Ponferradina	38	17	9	12	43:33	60
5	Real Madrid B	38	16	10	12	61:52	58
6	Pontevedra	38	14	16	8	49:31	58
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51:38	58
8	Unionistas de Salamanca	38	15	11	12	53:49	56
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36:40	53
10	AD Merida	38	14	10	14	47:53	52
11	Arenas Getxo	38	15	7	16	46:55	52
12	Racing Club Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41:47	49
13	Ath Bilbao B	38	13	10	15	38:46	49
14	Real Aviles	38	11	11	16	55:67	44
15	Cacereno	38	10	14	14	42:49	44
16	CF Talavera	38	11	10	17	38:47	43
17	Ourense CF	38	10	13	15	44:47	43
18	Guadalajara	38	10	11	17	44:58	41
19	Osasuna B	38	10	10	18	28:42	40
20	Arenteiro	38	6	10	22	29:53	28

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