Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Ourense CF and Laracha finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ourense CF carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Ourense CF taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Laracha Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ourense CF | Laracha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Ourense CF
0:1
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Laracha
2:2
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Ourense CF
0:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Laracha
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ourense CF 50 / 100
Laracha 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ourense CF Laracha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ourense CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Laracha let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Ourense CF's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Ourense CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ourense CF VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ourense CF
(Home) 26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
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Laracha
(Away) 19 May
Laracha
0 : 3 Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2 Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3 Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0 Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1 Compostela
Page 1 of 6
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2 Laracha
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0 Laracha
18 Apr
Paiosaco
2 : 1 Laracha
07 Apr
Alondras
2 : 0 Laracha
24 Mar
Lugo B
1 : 0 Laracha
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 80:35 | 78 |
| 2 | Bergantinos | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 58:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Compostela | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 80:47 | 68 |
| 4 | Alondras | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 47:36 | 65 |
| 5 | Barco | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 58:43 | 64 |
| 6 | Ourense CF | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 51:24 | 64 |
| 7 | CD Choco | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 59:47 | 59 |
| 8 | UD Ourense | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 45:39 | 59 |
| 9 | Arosa SC | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 57:44 | 57 |
| 10 | Lugo B | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Racing Club Villalbes | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:48 | 52 |
| 12 | Silva SD | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 52:56 | 48 |
| 13 | Arenteiro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | 47 |
| 14 | Somozas | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:52 | 46 |
| 15 | Paiosaco | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 46:59 | 45 |
| 16 | Celtiga | 38 | 12 | 5 | 21 | 36:66 | 41 |
| 17 | Laracha | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 42:49 | 40 |
| 18 | Ribadumia | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:65 | 38 |
| 19 | CD Boiro | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 34:79 | 31 |
| 20 | Porrino Industrial | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 37:74 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
