Sport Picks
Ourense CF vs Orihuela
Spain
Copa Federacion Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bouzaig A.
82'
82'
Bouzaig A.
86'
86'
Bouzaig A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Ourense CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ourense CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ourense CF come out ahead of Orihuela on wins alone.
- Ourense CF are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Ourense CF have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ourense CF, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 20%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ourense CF | Orihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2025 Copa Federacion
Ourense CF vs Orihuela
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ourense CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzaig A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Orihuela Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ourense CF 36 / 100
Orihuela 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ourense CF Orihuela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ourense CF scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Orihuela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Ourense CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ourense CF VS Orihuela
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ourense CF
(Home) 23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
17 May
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Ourense CF
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
03 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Ourense CF
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
11 Apr
Ourense CF
4 : 2 Lugo
29 Mar
Ourense CF
0 : 0 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 4
Orihuela
(Away) 03 May
Orihuela
2 : 1 Getafe B
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1 Orihuela
18 Apr
Orihuela
0 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 Orihuela
05 Apr
Orihuela
2 : 2 Conquense
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1 Orihuela
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 Orihuela
29 Mar
Tenerife B
1 : 3 Orihuela
15 Mar
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 0 Orihuela
28 Feb
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida1
Tudelano0
Formentera1
SD Ibiza0
Terrassa4
Atletico Monzon0
SD Ejea2
UE Tona0
Bergantinos4
Marino De Luanco2
Estradense2
Covadonga1
CD Laredo1
Ourense CF5
Zamora4
Amorebieta1
Varea2
Moralo0
San Sebastian Reyes1
Alfaro0
Laguna Tenerife1
Toledo2
Jaraiz2
CD Coria3
Deportiva Minera3
Melilla0
Molinense2
Xerez CD0
Ceuta 6 de Junio2
Orihuela5
Huetor Tajar2
Bollullos1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida6
Formentera1
Terrassa0
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos2
Estradense1
Ourense CF2
Zamora1
Varea1
San Sebastian Reyes2
Toledo1
CD Coria0
Deportiva Minera3
Molinense0
Orihuela3
Huetor Tajar0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida2
SD Ejea1
Bergantinos0
Ourense CF2
San Sebastian Reyes0
Toledo1
Deportiva Minera0
Orihuela1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida3
Ourense CF4
Toledo2
Orihuela4
Final
Ourense CF3
Orihuela0