Sport Picks
Ourense CF vs Orihuela
Spain
Copa Federacion 2025 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bouzaig A.
82'
82'
Bouzaig A.
86'
86'
Bouzaig A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Ourense CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orihuela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Orihuela come out ahead of Ourense CF on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Orihuela arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ourense CF, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 14%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ourense CF | Orihuela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2025 Copa Federacion
Ourense CF vs Orihuela
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ourense CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Bouzaig A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Orihuela Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ourense CF 31 / 100
Orihuela 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ourense CF Orihuela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ourense CF scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Orihuela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Ourense CF has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ourense CF VS Orihuela
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ourense CF
(Home) 13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
15 Aug
Pontevedra
2 : 1 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
11 Apr
Ourense CF
4 : 2 Lugo
Page 1 of 3
Orihuela
(Away) 16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2 Orihuela
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1 Valencia B
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2 Orihuela
12 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD
3 : 0 Orihuela
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2 Orihuela
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
