Sport Picks
Ourense CF vs Zamora
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ochoa M.
7'
7'
Losada M.
27'
27'
Marquez E.
AI Match Summary
Zamora in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zamora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zamora lately — more wins on the board than Ourense CF.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 20%
Zamora Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ourense CF | Zamora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Zamora
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Federacion
Ourense CF vs Zamora
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Zamora
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ourense CF
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ourense CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochoa M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Zamora Compare
Top Goalscorer Losada M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ourense CF 32 / 100
Zamora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ourense CF Zamora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ourense CF scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Zamora has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ourense CF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ourense CF VS Zamora
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ourense CF
(Home) 19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
26 Apr
Ourense CF
1 : 2 Zamora
Page 1 of 3
Zamora
(Away) 20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2 Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 UD Logrones
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1 Zamora
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2 Zamora
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1 Zamora
04 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0 Zamora
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0 Zamora
31 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0 Zamora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
