Sport Picks
Ourense CF vs Zamora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Copa Federacion 2025 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
40'
40'
Lozano M.
87'
87'
Vazquez K.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Yuste A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Ourense CF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ourense CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Zamora carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ourense CF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Zamora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ourense CF, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ourense CF Clean Sheet 68%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ourense CF | Zamora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Zamora
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ourense CF
0:0
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Federacion
Ourense CF vs Zamora
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ourense CF vs Zamora
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Ourense CF
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ourense CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuste A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Zamora Compare
Top Goalscorer Lozano M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ourense CF 51 / 100
Zamora 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ourense CF Zamora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ourense CF scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Ourense CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Zamora conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ourense CF VS Zamora
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ourense CF
(Home) 04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0 Arosa SC
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1 Ourense CF
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2 Ourense CF
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ourense CF
0 : 0 Arosa SC
19 Sept
Ourense CF
0 : 2 Eibar B
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Basconia
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1 Tenerife
10 May
Ourense CF
2 : 4 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 3
Zamora
(Away) 04 Oct
Zamora
2 : 0 CD Coria
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1 Zamora
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2 Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1 Zamora
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2 Zamora
20 Aug
Real Madrid B
0 : 1 Zamora
04 Aug
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0 Zamora
19 Jun
Sabadell
4 : 0 Zamora
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
CD Laguna 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
