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Ouriense W vs A-dos-Francos W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ouriense W
20%
Draws
40%
A-dos-Francos W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ouriense W have won more games recently than A-dos-Francos W.
  • Ouriense W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 20%
A-dos-Francos W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W A-dos-Francos W
Matches Played 37 23
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 0.89 0.52
Goals Conceded 2.24 3.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs A-dos-Francos W
2:2
Jan 24, 2021 Liga BPI Women
A-dos-Francos W vs Ouriense W
0:1
Jan 3, 2021 Liga BPI Women
A-dos-Francos W vs Ouriense W
1:1
Apr 19, 2020 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs A-dos-Francos W
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Liga BPI Women
A-dos-Francos W vs Ouriense W
1:10

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 76 / 100
A-dos-Francos W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W A-dos-Francos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouriense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

A-dos-Francos W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Difficult form: A-dos-Francos W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ouriense W scored in 59% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Ouriense W VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 8

A-dos-Francos W

(Away)
25 Apr
Estoril Praia W
5 : 0
A-dos-Francos W
18 Apr
A-dos-Francos W
0 : 2
Damaiense W
10 Apr
A-dos-Francos W
2 : 5
C.F. Benfica W
28 Mar
C.F. Benfica W
3 : 0
A-dos-Francos W
14 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 2
A-dos-Francos W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valadares Gaia W 10 6 3 1 18:6 28
2 Boavista W 10 5 2 3 20:8 22
3 Gil Vicente W 10 6 1 3 17:9 22
4 Ovarense W 10 3 3 4 16:10 18
5 Cadima W 10 4 1 5 10:20 14
6 Fiaes W 10 0 2 8 4:32 5
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 10 8 0 2 18:6 29
2 Ouriense W 10 6 1 3 8:8 23
3 Estoril Praia W 10 5 0 5 14:12 22
4 Damaiense W 10 5 0 5 14:12 21
5 C.F. Benfica W 10 4 0 6 15:14 14
6 A-dos-Francos W 10 1 1 8 7:24 5
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2020/2021 (Relegation - Play Offs)