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Ouriense W vs Amora W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Duque C.
11' Event
Santana L.
56' Event
Mafalda

AI Match Summary

Amora W in this Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amora W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ouriense W
20%
Draws
40%
Amora W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ouriense W have won more games recently than Amora W.
  • Model gives Ouriense W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Amora W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%
Amora W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Amora W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 0.84 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.47 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Amora W
2:3
Oct 23, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Ouriense W
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Ouriense W
4:3
Jan 16, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Amora W
1:3
Nov 7, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Amora W vs Ouriense W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Amora W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafalda
2 Goals
Assists Leader Duque C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 34 / 100
Amora W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Amora W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Amora W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ouriense W's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ouriense W VS Amora W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
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Amora W

(Away)
09 Jun
Amora W
0 : 1
Vilaverdense W
26 May
Vilaverdense W
1 : 1
Amora W
21 May
Amora W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
14 May
Vilaverdense W
3 : 0
Amora W
07 May
Torreense W
2 : 1
Amora W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 21 0 1 99:7 63
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 67:14 54
3 Braga W 22 16 3 3 60:26 51
4 Famalicao W 22 12 4 6 48:24 40
5 Damaiense W 22 10 6 6 35:34 36
6 Vilaverdense W 22 9 1 12 34:47 25
7 Torreense W 22 6 4 12 25:47 22
8 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 6 11 21:54 21
9 Valadares Gaia W 22 5 5 12 17:38 20
10 Ouriense W 22 4 5 13 16:43 17
11 Maritimo W 22 5 2 15 29:58 17
12 Amora W 22 2 1 19 12:71 7
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2022/2023 (Relegation - Play Offs)