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Ouriense W vs Gil Vicente W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cabral B.
48' Event
Azevedo I.
Own Goal
57' Event
Sousa J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ouriense W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ouriense W
20%
Draws
40%
Gil Vicente W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gil Vicente W have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Ouriense W are scoring more at 0.91.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ouriense W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ouriense W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%
Gil Vicente W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Gil Vicente W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.91 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Gil Vicente W vs Ouriense W
1:1
Jun 3, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Gil Vicente W
2:1
May 15, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Gil Vicente W vs Ouriense W
0:3
Feb 27, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Gil Vicente W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gil Vicente W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 34 / 100
Gil Vicente W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Gil Vicente W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gil Vicente W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Difficult form: Gil Vicente W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ouriense W's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ouriense W VS Gil Vicente W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 7

Gil Vicente W

(Away)
31 May
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Rio Ave W
23 May
Rio Ave W
1 : 1
Gil Vicente W
13 Dec
Gil Vicente W
1 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W
15 Feb
Gil Vicente W
0 : 1
Braga W
10 Feb
Gil Vicente W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ouriense W 3
Gil Vicente W 2
Maritimo W 6
C.F. Benfica W 2