Sport Picks

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Ouriense W vs SL Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2023/2024
Ouriense W Logo

Ouriense W

0 - 5
FT
SL Benfica W Logo

SL Benfica W

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Amado C.
40' Event
Alidou d'Anjou M.
44' Event
Sousa Alves L. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with SL Benfica W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ouriense W
15%
Draws
78%
SL Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • SL Benfica W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SL Benfica W a 78% chance of winning this.
  • SL Benfica W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SL Benfica W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SL Benfica W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W SL Benfica W
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 5 38
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.8 2.96
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
6:1
Nov 5, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
Ouriense W vs SL Benfica W
0:5
Oct 7, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs SL Benfica W
0:3
Oct 4, 2023 Taça da Liga Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
3:1
Apr 23, 2023 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Ouriense W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alidou d'Anjou M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amado C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 10 / 100
SL Benfica W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W SL Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ouriense W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

SL Benfica W let in goals in 53% of their last 47 matches.

Solid form: Ouriense W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SL Benfica W
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

SL Benfica W

(Away)
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Famalicao W -
TBD -
Vilaverdense W 2
Racing Power W 13
Sporting W -
TBD -
Torreense W 2
Maritimo W 3
SL Benfica W -
TBD -
Albergaria/Durit W 1
Ouriense W 2
Braga W -
TBD -
Damaiense W 1
Valadares Gaia W 6
Quarter-finals
Famalicao W 0
Racing Power W 1
Sporting W 5
Maritimo W 3
SL Benfica W 8
Ouriense W 1
Braga W 2
Valadares Gaia W 3
Semi-finals
Racing Power W 0
Sporting W 2
SL Benfica W 6
Valadares Gaia W 3
Final
Sporting W 0
SL Benfica W 1