Sport Picks

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Ouriense W vs Sporting W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Smith O.
32' Event
Martins J.
35' Event
Capeta A.
Assist: Pires Neto C. T.

AI Match Summary

Sporting W in this Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Ouriense W
30%
Draws
62%
Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Sporting W have won more games recently than Ouriense W.
  • Sporting W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Sporting W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:3
Jan 6, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Ouriense W
10:0
Jan 29, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Sporting W vs Ouriense W
4:1
Dec 18, 2022 Taça de Portugal Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:2
Sep 10, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Sporting W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ouriense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 10 / 100
Sporting W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Sporting W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Ouriense W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Ouriense W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
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Sporting W

(Away)
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
16 Aug
Sporting W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
08 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 1
Sporting W
05 Aug
Sporting W
5 : 0
SeaSters Odesa W
29 Jul
Sevilla W
0 : 0
Sporting W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)