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Ouriense W vs Varzim W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
Ouriense W Logo

Ouriense W

2 - 1
FT
Varzim W Logo

Varzim W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 game between Ouriense W and Varzim W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouriense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ouriense W
30%
Draws
58%
Varzim W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ouriense W come out ahead of Varzim W on wins alone.
  • Varzim W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ouriense W Varzim W
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Ouriense W
0:2
Jan 2, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Varzim W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ouriense W 22 / 100
Varzim W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ouriense W Varzim W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim W let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ouriense W found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Ouriense W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ouriense W VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ouriense W

(Home)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 7

Varzim W

(Away)
05 Jun
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Varzim W
29 May
Varzim W
3 : 1
Estoril Praia W
22 May
Atletico CP W
3 : 0
Varzim W
15 May
Varzim W
4 : 4
Amora W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)