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Ovrevoll Hosle W vs Frigg W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ovrevoll Hosle W play Frigg W in the Norway Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ovrevoll Hosle W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. Frigg W averaged 0.62 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. In past meetings, Ovrevoll Hosle W won 0, Frigg W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.66 for Ovrevoll Hosle W and 1.87 for Frigg W. This points to a Frigg W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ovrevoll Hosle W
17%
Draws
43%
Frigg W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Frigg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ovrevoll Hosle W picked up more points recently compared to Frigg W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.66 vs 1.87 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Ovrevoll Hosle W Clean Sheet 10%
Frigg W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ovrevoll Hosle W Frigg W
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 5 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.62
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.86 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Ovrevoll Hosle W vs Frigg W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ovrevoll Hosle W Compare

Top Goalscorer Falkman F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.33
Avg xA / game 0.21

Frigg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gooderham E. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakke N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ovrevoll Hosle W 38 / 100
Frigg W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ovrevoll Hosle W Frigg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Frigg W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ovrevoll Hosle W attacking → ← attacking Frigg W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ovrevoll Hosle W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Frigg W let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ovrevoll Hosle W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Frigg W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 12
0.43 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88