Sport Picks
Oxford City vs Buxton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
11'
11'
Tuntulwana S.
28'
28'
Burton K.
53'
53'
Marsh T.
AI Match Summary
Buxton in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Buxton lately — more wins on the board than Oxford City.
- Model gives Oxford City a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Buxton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 17%
Buxton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford City | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Buxton
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Buxton
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Oxford City
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 National League North
Oxford City vs Buxton
0:7
Nov 23, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Oxford City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuntulwana S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Burton K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford City 84 / 100
Buxton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford City Buxton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oxford City scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Buxton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Oxford City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Oxford City VS Buxton
2.13 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford City
(Home) 03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1 Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1 Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 1 Harborough
Page 1 of 3
Buxton
(Away) 03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2 South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1 Buxton
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
