Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Marsh T.
44'
44'
Pollock S.
48'
48'
Bateman B.
AI Match Summary
Oxford City in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oxford City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chorley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oxford City lately — more wins on the board than Chorley.
- Model gives Oxford City a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 20%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford City | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
4:0
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Oxford City
3:3
Jan 21, 2025 National League North
Chorley vs Oxford City
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 National League North
Oxford City vs Chorley
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford City Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pollock S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Chorley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford City 76 / 100
Chorley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford City Chorley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oxford City's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Chorley let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Oxford City remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oxford City VS Chorley
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford City
(Home) 03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1 Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1 Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
28 Aug
Oxford City
2 : 3 Buxton
18 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 1 Harborough
Page 1 of 3
Chorley
(Away) 03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4 Chorley
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2 Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Barton Town
1 : 4 Chorley
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1 Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0 Chorley
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
