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Oxford Utd U18 vs Cardiff U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2022/2023
Oxford Utd U18 Logo

Oxford Utd U18

3 - 1
FT
Cardiff U18 Logo

Cardiff U18

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Spiers W.
49' Event
Rashane M.
51' Event
O'Donkor G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oxford Utd U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Oxford Utd U18
15%
Draws
21%
Cardiff U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff U18 have won more games recently than Oxford Utd U18.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Cardiff U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardiff U18, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oxford Utd U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Cardiff U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd U18 Cardiff U18
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2023 FA Youth Cup
Oxford Utd U18 vs Cardiff U18
3:1
Jan 14, 2014 FA Youth Cup
Oxford Utd U18 vs Cardiff U18
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford Utd U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Donkor G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rashane M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cardiff U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Spiers W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd U18 31 / 100
Cardiff U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd U18 Cardiff U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardiff U18 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Oxford Utd U18's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Solid form: Oxford Utd U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd U18 VS Cardiff U18
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd U18

(Home)
18 Feb
Oxford Utd U18
1 : 4
Manchester United U18
22 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
2 : 1
Colchester U18
07 Mar
Manchester City U18
3 : 0
Oxford Utd U18
15 Feb
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 0
Leeds U18
10 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 1
Cardiff U18
Page 1 of 2

Cardiff U18

(Away)
19 Jul
Cardiff U18
2 : 4
Shrewsbury U18
12 Jul
Cardiff U18
7 : 2
Exeter U18
17 Jan
Cardiff U18
1 : 2
Bristol City U18
10 Jan
Oxford Utd U18
3 : 1
Cardiff U18
31 Mar
West Brom U18
2 : 1
Cardiff U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Watford U18 3
Everton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 0
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Manchester City U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Fleetwood Town U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Leeds U18 3
Ipswich U18 2
Nottingham U18 1
Port Vale U18 0
Liverpool U18 1
Stoke City U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Burnley U18 0
West Ham U18 1
Luton U18 3
QPR U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Preston U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Southampton U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Fulham U18 2
1/8-finals
Watford U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Manchester City U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Leeds U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
Liverpool U18 0
Stoke City U18 1
West Ham U18 4
Luton U18 2
Preston U18 3
Southampton U18 3
Fulham U18 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Manchester City U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
West Ham U18 4
Preston U18 1
Southampton U18 3
Semi-finals
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
West Ham U18 6
Southampton U18 1
Final
Arsenal U18 1
West Ham U18 5