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Stadium Background

Oxford Utd vs Cambridge Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
McDonnell J. In: Sibley L.
Out: McDonnell J.
15' Event
Dembele S.
Assist: Harris M.
45'
Brannagan C.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Oxford Utd and Cambridge Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Oxford Utd
30%
Draws
43%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Oxford Utd haven't matched Cambridge Utd's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cambridge Utd
1:1
Dec 26, 2023 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cambridge Utd
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Oxford Utd
2:0
Feb 18, 2023 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Oxford Utd
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cambridge Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dembele S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Knight B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd 41 / 100
Cambridge Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford Utd found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Cambridge Utd conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Oxford Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd VS Cambridge Utd
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oxford Utd
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Cambridge Utd

(Away)
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
26 Sept
Cambridge Utd
1 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Reading
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)