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Oyonesa vs Racing Rioja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Fernandez R.
71' Event
Arnaez J.
89' Event
Tata O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 game between Oyonesa and Racing Rioja finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oyonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Oyonesa
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oyonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Rioja haven't matched Oyonesa's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Oyonesa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oyonesa Racing Rioja
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Racing Rioja
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs Oyonesa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnaez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Racing Rioja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oyonesa 85 / 100
Racing Rioja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oyonesa Racing Rioja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oyonesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Racing Rioja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Oyonesa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Defensive concern: Racing Rioja conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Oyonesa VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oyonesa

(Home)
27 Sept
Vianes
2 : 2
Oyonesa
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 8

Racing Rioja

(Away)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)