Sport Picks
Match Events
73'
73'
Stankus A.
85'
85'
Stankus R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Grobina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ozolnieki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Grobina come out ahead of Ozolnieki on wins alone.
- Ozolnieki are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Grobina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Grobina, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ozolnieki | Grobina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2013 Latvian Cup
Ozolnieki vs Grobina
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ozolnieki Compare
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Grobina Compare
Top Goalscorer Stankus A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stankus R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ozolnieki 36 / 100
Grobina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ozolnieki Grobina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ozolnieki scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.
Defensive concern: Grobina conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Grobina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Grobina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ozolnieki
(Home) 16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2 Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3 Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1 Upesciems
14 Jun
FK Auda Riga
6 : 2 Ozolnieki
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0 Mersrags
Page 1 of 2
16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2 Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3 Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1 Upesciems
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0 Mersrags
20 Jul
Ozolnieki
1 : 3 Salaspils FK
Page 1 of 2
Grobina
(Away) 12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0 Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Grobina
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1 Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2 Grobina
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1 Grobina
02 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 0 Grobina
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0
