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Ozolnieki vs Jelgava

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2009/2010
Ozolnieki Logo

Ozolnieki

0 - 6
FT
Jelgava Logo

Jelgava

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Jelgava advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ozolnieki
15%
Draws
46%
Jelgava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jelgava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jelgava come out ahead of Ozolnieki on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jelgava a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Jelgava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jelgava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ozolnieki Clean Sheet 17%
Jelgava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ozolnieki Jelgava
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2009 Latvian Cup
Ozolnieki vs Jelgava
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ozolnieki 23 / 100
Jelgava 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ozolnieki Jelgava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jelgava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Ozolnieki's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jelgava conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Ozolnieki remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jelgava
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ozolnieki

(Home)
16 Jun
Ozolnieki
0 : 2
Grobina
17 Jul
Ozolnieki
0 : 3
Tukums 2000
07 Jul
Ozolnieki
4 : 1
Upesciems
14 Jun
FK Auda Riga
6 : 2
Ozolnieki
06 Jun
Ozolnieki
4 : 0
Mersrags
Page 1 of 2

Jelgava

(Away)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
Tukums 2000
1 : 4
Jelgava
22 Aug
Ogre United
2 : 3
Jelgava
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
Viesulis 1
Ozolnieki 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
Gulbene 2
Adazi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 4
Elvi 1
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
Kauguri-PBLC -
TBD -
FK Olaine 0
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flaminko 10
JFC Dobele 0
Brali 3
FK 1625 Liepaja 4
FK Metta -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 1
Priekuli 0
Bebri 4
Upesciems 5
Valka 5
FK Alberts 1
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
Tranzits -
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Adazi 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Ventspils -
TBD -
Bauskas BJSS 0
FC Jurmala 2
Kauguri-PBLC 8
Jelgava BJSS 1
TBD -
Skonto -
Olimps Riga -
TBD -
Flaminko 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Metta 4
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
TBD -
RFS -
Blazma -
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe 2
Upesciems 3
Valka 1
FK Auda Riga 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 2
Tranzits 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 4
Ventspils 4
FC Jurmala 0
Kauguri-PBLC 0
Skonto 3
Olimps Riga 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 0
FK Metta 1
RFS 3
Blazma 5
Upesciems 0
Valka 0
FK Daugava Riga 13
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 4
FK Liepaja 3
Ventspils 0
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 4
RFS 0
Blazma 0
FK Daugava Riga 4
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Skonto 1
Olimps Riga 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Final
Jelgava 3
FK Daugava Riga 2