Sport Picks

Pacajus vs Iguatu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2023

Pacajus

4 - 1

Iguatu

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Guto

(Penalty)

16'

Murilo

45'

Otacilio Marcos

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pacajus in this Serie D 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacajus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Pacajus

35%

Draws

47%

Iguatu

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Pacajus haven't matched Iguatu's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Serie D 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Pacajus Clean Sheet 19%

Iguatu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pacajus	Iguatu
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	8	15
Draws	11	15
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.4	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.17	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Serie D

Pacajus vs Iguatu

4:1

May 20, 2023 Serie D

Iguatu vs Pacajus

1:2

Jan 28, 2023 Cearense

Pacajus vs Iguatu

1:2

Feb 2, 2022 Cearense

Iguatu vs Pacajus

1:0

Jan 11, 2022 Cearense

Pacajus vs Iguatu

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacajus Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson

1 Goals

Assists Leader Willian Anicete

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.52

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Otacilio Marcos

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.13

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacajus 32 / 100

Iguatu 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pacajus Iguatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iguatu Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacajus found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Iguatu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pacajus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Iguatu

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacajus

(Home)

31 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 2

Cariri FC

27 Mar

Itapipoca

3 : 2

Pacajus

24 Mar

Icasa

2 : 2

Pacajus

16 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 1

Tirol

10 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 1

Maranguape

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Iguatu

(Away)

25 Jul

Iguatu

1 : 2

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

18 Jul

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

1 : 1

Iguatu

12 Jul

Iguatu

2 : 1

Maguary

04 Jul

Maguary

2 : 3

Iguatu

27 Jun

Iguatu

1 : 1

Tuna Luso

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