Sport Picks

Pacajus vs Nacional PB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Serie D 2023

Pacajus

1 - 0

Nacional PB

Our Tip

Match Events

63'

Willian Anicete

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pacajus in this Serie D 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacajus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Pacajus

35%

Draws

43%

Nacional PB

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Pacajus haven't matched Nacional PB's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Serie D 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Pacajus Clean Sheet 20%

Nacional PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pacajus	Nacional PB
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	9
Draws	11	11
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.4	1.26
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2023 Serie D

Nacional PB vs Pacajus

1:0

Jun 11, 2023 Serie D

Pacajus vs Nacional PB

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacajus Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Anicete

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.18

Avg xA / game 0.77

Nacional PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacajus 32 / 100

Nacional PB 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pacajus Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacional PB conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Pacajus found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pacajus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional PB

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacajus

(Home)

31 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 2

Cariri FC

27 Mar

Itapipoca

3 : 2

Pacajus

24 Mar

Icasa

2 : 2

Pacajus

16 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 1

Tirol

10 Mar

Pacajus

1 : 1

Maranguape

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Nacional PB

(Away)

22 Feb

Treze PB

1 : 2

Nacional PB

12 Feb

Nacional PB

1 : 1

Sousa

09 Feb

Serra Branca

2 : 2

Nacional PB

05 Feb

Nacional PB

0 : 0

Botafogo PB

01 Feb

Atletico Cajazeirense

1 : 0

Nacional PB

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