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Pacatuba U20 vs Ferroviario U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
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Match Events

27' Event
Honorato I.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Pacatuba U20 and Ferroviario U20 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pacatuba U20
15%
Draws
64%
Ferroviario U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario U20 come out ahead of Pacatuba U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Pacatuba U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacatuba U20 Ferroviario U20
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Cearense U20
Pacatuba U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacatuba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Honorato I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacatuba U20 32 / 100
Ferroviario U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacatuba U20 Ferroviario U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Pacatuba U20 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (14 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pacatuba U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacatuba U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Pacatuba U20
5 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
23 Aug
Pacatuba U20
0 : 1
Horizonte U20
08 Aug
Floresta EC U20
4 : 0
Pacatuba U20
02 Aug
Pacatuba U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
12 Jul
Ceara U20
4 : 0
Pacatuba U20
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Ferroviario U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)