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Pacatuba vs Calouros do Ar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Pacatuba Logo

Pacatuba

2 - 1
FT
Calouros do Ar Logo

Calouros do Ar

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Alves Rodrigues G.
61' Event
Alencar dos Santos C.
65' Event
Alencar dos Santos C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 game between Pacatuba and Calouros do Ar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacatuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pacatuba
20%
Draws
22%
Calouros do Ar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pacatuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacatuba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pacatuba a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 68%
Calouros do Ar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacatuba Calouros do Ar
Matches Played 24 6
Wins 4 2
Draws 9 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cearense 3
Pacatuba vs Calouros do Ar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Alencar dos Santos C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Calouros do Ar Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves Rodrigues G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacatuba 68 / 100
Calouros do Ar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacatuba Calouros do Ar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacatuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calouros do Ar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Pacatuba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Calouros do Ar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacatuba VS Calouros do Ar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.33
2 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacatuba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
Page 1 of 5

Calouros do Ar

(Away)
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 4
Calouros do Ar
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
10 Aug
Acopiara
3 : 0
Calouros do Ar
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)