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Pacatuba vs Vila Real - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3
Pacatuba Logo

Pacatuba

1 - 1
FT
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Wilkson
72' Event
Wendel J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pacatuba
30%
Draws
39%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than Pacatuba.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cearense 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacatuba Vila Real
Matches Played 24 19
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Pacatuba
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 Cearense 3
Pacatuba vs Vila Real
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 Cearense 3
Pacatuba vs Vila Real
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilkson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacatuba 32 / 100
Vila Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacatuba Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vila Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 19 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Pacatuba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pacatuba found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (24 games).

Scoring Trends

Pacatuba VS Vila Real
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacatuba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
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Vila Real

(Away)
27 Sept
Acopiara
2 : 1
Vila Real
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Acopiara 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Esporte Limoeiro 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
4 Pacatuba 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
5 Calouros do Ar 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
6 Tiangua EC 6 1 1 4 6:10 4
7 Palmacia 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Cearense 3 (Play Offs)