Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca 2 vs FC Santiago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2024/2025
Pachuca 2 Logo

Pachuca 2

1 - 1
FT
FC Santiago Logo

FC Santiago

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Luna D.
90' Event
Morales M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pachuca 2
35%
Draws
35%
FC Santiago
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Santiago come out ahead of Pachuca 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • FC Santiago arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Pachuca 2 Clean Sheet 17%
FC Santiago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca 2 FC Santiago
Matches Played 27 38
Wins 11 18
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.04 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Pachuca 2
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs FC Santiago
1:1
Mar 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs FC Santiago
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
FC Santiago vs Pachuca 2
1:1
Dec 4, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Pachuca 2 vs FC Santiago
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luna D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

FC Santiago Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 2 31 / 100
FC Santiago 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca 2 FC Santiago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santiago Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca 2 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: FC Santiago conceded in 66% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Pachuca 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Santiago
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca 2

(Home)
04 May
FC Santiago
2 : 1
Pachuca 2
30 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
FC Santiago
27 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 1
Artesanos Metepec
24 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
1 : 1
Pachuca 2
19 Apr
Pachuca 2
1 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

FC Santiago

(Away)
04 Oct
FC Santiago
2 : 2
Guerreros de Autlan
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo Soccer F.C.
11 Sept
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
FC Santiago
05 Sept
FC Santiago
3 : 0
Heroes de Zaci
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
FC Santiago 4
Club CDM 0
CD Ayense 6
Cordobes FC 1
Pachuca 2 1
Calor De San Pedro 1
Artesanos Metepec 5
Canoneros FC 2
Semi-finals
FC Santiago 4
CD Ayense 0
Pachuca 2 2
Artesanos Metepec 2
Final
FC Santiago 3
Pachuca 2 2