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Pachuca U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
2 - 3
03:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ben Rhouma A.
7' Event
Rosales A.
39' Event
Hernandez C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Pachuca U21 and Guadalajara Chivas U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pachuca U21
15%
Draws
57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Pachuca U21 on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pachuca U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Rhouma A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 28 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pachuca U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Pachuca U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 10 10 0 0 20:7 27
2 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 19:9 24
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 10 5 0 5 11:9 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 3 0 7 10:19 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)