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Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca U21 host Necaxa U21 in the Liga MX U21. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pachuca U21 have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Necaxa U21's 1.39 scored and 1.54 conceded. Head-to-head, Pachuca U21 have won 1 to Necaxa U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Necaxa U21 to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Pachuca U21
15%
Draws
51%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pachuca U21 haven't matched Necaxa U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21
3:4
Oct 3, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 32 / 100
Necaxa U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pachuca U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Necaxa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Pachuca U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS Necaxa U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 10 10 0 0 20:7 27
2 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 19:9 24
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 10 5 0 5 11:9 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 3 0 7 10:19 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)