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Pachuca U21 vs Queretaro U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Zavala I.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pachuca U21
15%
Draws
28%
Queretaro U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pachuca U21 have won more games recently than Queretaro U21.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pachuca U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 Queretaro U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Queretaro U21
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Pachuca U21
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavala I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Queretaro U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 40 / 100
Queretaro U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 Queretaro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Queretaro U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Pachuca U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Difficult form: Queretaro U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS Queretaro U21
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
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Queretaro U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 10 10 0 0 20:7 27
2 Club Leon U21 10 9 0 1 19:9 24
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 10 5 0 5 11:9 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 10 3 0 7 10:19 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)