Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs Puebla

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pachuca and Puebla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pachuca
28%
Draws
22%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Puebla haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Puebla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Pachuca vs Puebla
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Pachuca
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Pachuca
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 49 / 100
Puebla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pachuca's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pachuca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Puebla
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
27 Jul
Pachuca
1 : 2
Queretaro
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
18 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 0
Pachuca
15 May
Pachuca
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas
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Puebla

(Away)
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Puebla
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
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