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Pachuca vs Puebla

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pachuca and Puebla finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pachuca
30%
Draws
23%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Puebla haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 17%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Puebla
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Pachuca vs Puebla
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Pachuca
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 75 / 100
Puebla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Puebla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pachuca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Puebla
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
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Puebla

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
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