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Pachuca W vs Monterrey W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Aline Gomes
46'
Sub
Veloz A. In: Seoposenwe J.
Out: Veloz A.
56'
Garcia Ramirez M. P.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W host Monterrey W in the Liga MX Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monterrey W have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Pachuca W have conceded 1.5 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Pachuca W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Pachuca W. Pachuca W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pachuca W
30%
Draws
34%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Pachuca W demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Monterrey W (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Pachuca W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Liga MX Women increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 15%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Monterrey W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
4:1
May 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:2
Jul 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Pachuca W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corral V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Monterrey W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 35 / 100
Monterrey W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Monterrey W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Monterrey W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pachuca W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Monterrey W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Monterrey W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America W4
Juarez W3
Tigres UANL W2
Toluca W4
Monterrey W5
Cruz Azul W1
Pachuca W3
Guadalajara Chivas W2
Semi-finals
Club America W11
Toluca W4
Monterrey W4
Pachuca W3
Final
Club America W3
Monterrey W1