Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aline Gomes
23' Event
Nicosia N.
25'
Sub
Gomez A. In: Vaka L.
Out: Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Pachuca W and Santos Laguna W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
64%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca W come out ahead of Santos Laguna W on wins alone.
  • Santos Laguna W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pachuca W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 18%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.27 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:3
Sep 16, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicosia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Santos Laguna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 28 / 100
Santos Laguna W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Santos Laguna W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pachuca W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Santos Laguna W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
30 Aug
Tigres UANL W
2 : 0
Pachuca W
23 Aug
Pachuca W
3 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Santos Laguna W

(Away)
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
01 Sept
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Atlante W
23 Aug
Juarez W
3 : 2
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 8 7 0 1 33:9 21
2 Tigres UANL W 8 7 0 1 28:8 21
3 Juarez W 9 7 0 2 14:6 21
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12:20 12
7 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 11:21 12
8 Atlante W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
9 Queretaro W 9 2 0 7 10:21 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 9 6 0 3 20:11 18
3 Atletico San Luis W 8 5 0 3 21:15 15
4 UNAM Pumas W 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 13:13 10
7 Club Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 12:24 6
8 Puebla W 8 1 0 7 12:36 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)