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Pachuca W vs Toluca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Pachuca W Logo

Pachuca W

1 - 2
FT
Toluca W Logo

Toluca W

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Vazquez S.
21'
Guatemala D.
45'
Le Sommer E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toluca W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
64%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Toluca W have won more games recently than Pachuca W.
  • Toluca W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 11%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Toluca W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
1:2
Feb 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Pachuca W
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
1:2
Mar 21, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Toluca W
2:3
Oct 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Pachuca W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez Stickel E. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toluca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Le Sommer E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 18 / 100
Toluca W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Toluca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toluca W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Toluca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Pachuca W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Toluca W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
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Toluca W

(Away)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4
Toluca W
22 Sept
Toluca W
2 : 7
Tigres UANL W
15 Sept
Toluca W
6 : 0
Club Tijuana W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)