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Pachuca W vs UNAM Pumas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Aline Gomes
42'
Nicosia N.
45'
Nieto K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Pachuca W and UNAM Pumas W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
49%
UNAM Pumas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca W come out ahead of UNAM Pumas W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 13%
UNAM Pumas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W UNAM Pumas W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.09 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs UNAM Pumas W
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Pachuca W
1:2
Aug 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Mar 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs UNAM Pumas W
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Liga MX Women
UNAM Pumas W vs Pachuca W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corral V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

UNAM Pumas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinchilla P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 31 / 100
UNAM Pumas W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W UNAM Pumas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pachuca W scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

UNAM Pumas W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: UNAM Pumas W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS UNAM Pumas W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
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UNAM Pumas W

(Away)
03 Oct
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 3
Tigres UANL W
28 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 0
UNAM Pumas W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
12 Sept
Cruz Azul W
3 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
05 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
1 : 2
Club America W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)