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Stadium Background

Pacific FC vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Championship Starlight Stadium, Langford, BC
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Marshall T.
24' Event
Klomp D.
Assist: Kamdem B.
46'
Sub
Marshall T. In: Belluz J.
Out: Marshall T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Cavalry advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pacific FC
44%
Draws
20%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Pacific FC on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cavalry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cavalry, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacific FC Cavalry
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Pacific FC
3:0
May 9, 2026 Championship
Pacific FC vs Cavalry
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Cavalry
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Cavalry
3:3
Aug 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Cavalry
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacific FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Belluz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Klomp D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldisimo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacific FC 34 / 100
Cavalry 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacific FC Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Pacific FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Cavalry has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Pacific FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pacific FC VS Cavalry
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacific FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Pacific FC
05 Jul
Pacific FC
1 : 2
HFX Wanderers
26 Jun
HFX Wanderers
5 : 2
Pacific FC
14 Jun
Vancouver FC
2 : 1
Pacific FC
06 Jun
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
25 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 0
Cavalry
18 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
HFX Wanderers
14 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
09 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps
4 : 1
Cavalry
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-