Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pacifico vs Defensor San Alejandro

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Pacifico and Defensor San Alejandro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacifico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pacifico
39%
Draws
31%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensor San Alejandro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pacifico Clean Sheet 16%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacifico Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2014 Liga 2
Pacifico vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:1
May 10, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Pacifico
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacifico 30 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacifico Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacifico scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensor San Alejandro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Defensor San Alejandro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacifico VS Defensor San Alejandro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacifico

(Home)
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
30 Nov
Pacifico
0 : 1
Deportivo Coopsol
23 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
5 : 1
Pacifico
14 Nov
Pacifico
3 : 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Page 1 of 6

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)