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Pacifico vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Pacifico and Defensor San Alejandro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacifico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pacifico
15%
Draws
36%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pacifico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Defensor San Alejandro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Pacifico Clean Sheet 16%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacifico Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2014 Liga 2
Pacifico vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:1
May 10, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Pacifico
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacifico 30 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacifico Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacifico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pacifico scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensor San Alejandro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Defensor San Alejandro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacifico VS Defensor San Alejandro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacifico

(Home)
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
30 Nov
Pacifico
0 : 1
Deportivo Coopsol
23 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
5 : 1
Pacifico
14 Nov
Pacifico
3 : 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Page 1 of 6

Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)