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Pacifico vs Nacional FBC

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2024
Sun, Dec 8, 2024
2 - 2
08:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Valdivia J.
23' Event
Quevedo C.
28' Event
Caraza K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Peru 2024 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pacifico
44%
Draws
20%
Nacional FBC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pacifico lately — more wins on the board than Nacional FBC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Pacifico have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pacifico Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional FBC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacifico Nacional FBC
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2024 Copa Peru
Pacifico vs Nacional FBC
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Copa Peru
Nacional FBC vs Pacifico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacifico Compare

Top Goalscorer Quevedo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caraza K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nacional FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdivia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacifico 36 / 100
Nacional FBC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacifico Nacional FBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional FBC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Pacifico scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Pacifico went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacifico VS Nacional FBC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacifico

(Home)
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
30 Nov
Pacifico
0 : 1
Deportivo Coopsol
23 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
5 : 1
Pacifico
14 Nov
Pacifico
3 : 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Page 1 of 6

Nacional FBC

(Away)
18 Dec
FC Cajamarca
4 : 3
Nacional FBC
15 Dec
Ecosem Pasco
0 : 1
Nacional FBC
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
05 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 2
Ecosem Pasco
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CD San Cristobal3
Juventud Cautivo4
Tacna Heroica3
Santo Domingo2
Viargoca2
Juventud Santo Domingo3
Deportivo Ucrania7
San Antonio2
FC Cajamarca4
Cultural Volante3
Juventus Huamachuco4
Social Pariacoto3
Ecosem Pasco4
Deportivo El Inca3
Pacifico3
Nacional FBC4
Quarter-finals
Juventud Cautivo0
Tacna Heroica1
Juventud Santo Domingo2
Deportivo Ucrania1
FC Cajamarca3
Juventus Huamachuco2
Ecosem Pasco0
Nacional FBC1
Semi-finals
Tacna Heroica2
Juventud Santo Domingo1
FC Cajamarca4
Nacional FBC3
Final
Tacna Heroica2
FC Cajamarca1